{"id":384,"date":"2012-01-09T23:11:00","date_gmt":"2012-01-10T04:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/2012\/01\/09\/supply-chain-management\/a-puzzling-and-precipitous-divergence\/"},"modified":"2012-01-10T00:15:53","modified_gmt":"2012-01-10T05:15:53","slug":"a-puzzling-and-precipitous-divergence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/2012\/01\/09\/supply-chain-management\/a-puzzling-and-precipitous-divergence\/","title":{"rendered":"A puzzling and precipitous divergence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Its been a few months of good (or rather better) news on the employment front \u2013 the employment situation being a lagging indicator implies that the economy is on the mend and has been so for a few months. So what is the divergence then? See here below:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/image.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"background-image: none; border-right-width: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px\" title=\"image\" border=\"0\" alt=\"image\" src=\"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/image_thumb.png\" width=\"657\" height=\"434\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). You can see the steady build up that kicks off in August 2011 and continues till about Nov 2011. After that, it drops precipitously going into 2012. Now isn\u2019t that a puzzling divergence? Well, it isn\u2019t if you think that the general economy is going to tank again but can you really say that with today\u2019s picture, today\u2019s expectation \u2013 rosy getting rosier?<\/p>\n<p>Well, at the very least I get to check whether the BDI is any good as an indicator?<\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-bottom: 0px; margin: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; float: none; padding-top: 0px\" id=\"scid:0767317B-992E-4b12-91E0-4F059A8CECA8:0e0b41f7-b18f-4e32-a558-b0a813cc1cbf\" class=\"wlWriterEditableSmartContent\">Technorati Tags: <a href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tags\/Baltic+Dry+Index\" rel=\"tag\">Baltic Dry Index<\/a>,<a href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tags\/Economic+recovery\" rel=\"tag\">Economic recovery<\/a>,<a href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tags\/Employment+picture\" rel=\"tag\">Employment picture<\/a>,<a href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tags\/General+Economy\" rel=\"tag\">General Economy<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Its been a few months of good (or rather better) news on the employment front \u2013 the employment situation being a lagging indicator implies that the economy is on the mend and has been so for a few months. So what is the divergence then? See here below: This is the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,17,3],"tags":[184,179,188,223,224],"class_list":["post-384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-government","category-personal-observations","category-supply-chain-management","tag-baltic-dry","tag-baltic-dry-index","tag-economic-recovery","tag-employment-picture","tag-general-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=384"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":385,"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384\/revisions\/385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/at-scm.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<!-- WP Super Cache is installed but broken. The constant WPCACHEHOME must be set in the file wp-config.php and point at the WP Super Cache plugin directory. -->